Hydrogen Planes

Preventing Water Wars with Hydrogen Planes BOX Score

Hydrogen planes may be the best insurance policy against wars over water when the ice caps melt, and people panic from thirst and famine.

We treat public policy like puzzles to solve, searching for the highest nonpartisan scores, and talking about solutions like the big game it is.

This is a Politics 4.0, four-minute read.

The Puzzle

Countries bordering mountains that depend on the runoff to feed their streams will become desperate for water when the ice caps melt.

solution is to methodically convert all long-haul flights to hydrogen fuel, which would water the planet with the equivalent of one or two Lake Tahoes a year. The extra humidity will help refreeze the poles and re-snow mountain caps.

You can read more about it in our intro article. We go into sudden depth on the difficult-to-call roles in our Tiebreaker article. This week’s PolicyKeys puzzle can be found here. It’s a great team sport, especially in the classroom.

BOX SCORE
Hydrogen Planes

:Weighted-Average: Forecast of 128 Societal Roles
Super Nonpartisan ScoreOut of %100.

:70%: ± 4%

SIDES OF THE TABLE 4/4
WALLS OF INFORMATION 7/8
CULTURAL WINDOWS 12/16
INFLUENCE ROWS 11/16
BIAS COLUMNS 7/8

Top Four Key Reasons
IN FAVOR of the
Hydrogen Planes

The science exists to make this feasible

Climate change is a net bad for business


New green local jobs and profits

No potable water, no food

Top Four Key Reasons AGAINST
Hydrogen Planes

Costlier travel from smaller planes

Adapting to climate change is good for business

EVs are better for shorter hops

Drought claims are fear-mongering

Odd Couples
Leaning Against
Hydrogen Planes

Suburban Part-Time (2)
More expensive flights
❤️
Billionaires (10)
Climate change is good for business

Rural Full-Time (30)
Will help fuel more green inflation
❤️
Corporate Lobby (16)
The private sector can sell water

Core Republicans (14)
Fossil fuel is abundant and cheap
❤️
Rank & File Democrats (30)
Will help fuel more green inflation

Importers (16)
The private sector can sell water
❤️
Exporters (16)
The private sector can sell water

Odd Couples
Leaning In-Favor
of the Pro-Family Act

Moralist Republicans (11)
Helps avoid 1B climate refugees by 2050
❤️
Democratic Ethicists (5)
Water is cheaper than war

Local Chains (9)
Climate change is bad for business
❤️
E-Platforms (25)
Hydrogen jobs and profits

Gun Owners (11)
Helps avoid 1B climate refugees by 2050
❤️
Caregivers (25)
Hydrogen jobs and profits

Rural Part-time (27)
No potable water, no food
❤️
Urban Investors (9)
Climate change is bad for business

Four
Aha Moments

(YES) because water is cheaper than war

(YES) because it helps avoid a billion climate refugees by 2050

(NO) because it will fuel even more green inflation

(NO) because hydrogen needs heavy investment

Conclusion: 
LEADERBOARD
WORTHY

The US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) ranks solutions so ‘us people’ can keep track of what’s most important to the silent supermajority. Political parrots hate it when we think for ourselves.

Hydrogen Planes
Nonpartisan Score
STRONG
SUPERMAJORITY SUPPORT

POLI was slightly more optimistic than our editors. We predict a 71% ±4 (11 roles) STRONG SUPERMAJORITY of roles in this country to support HYDROGEN PLANES TO PREVENT WATER WARS, including a majority of each of the four sides of the political tablemaking this a US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) worthy idea. 

90% and up Near Unanimous
80% – 89% Near Consensus
75% -79%Vast Supermajority
67% – 74% STRONG SUPERMAJORITY
60% – 66% Supermajority
50% – 59% Majority

By
Contrast

SCOTUS’s approval rating is 41%,
the media is 32%, and
Congress is 15%.

Do we expect you to agree with the supermajority on all the rankings? 

Of course not; you’re human, not a hyper-partisan parrot.

We think you’ll agree with the leaderboard about 3 out of 4 items on average. Why?

The average score of the policies on the PolicyKeys™ US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) Sweet Sixteen is 76%, with many above 80%Politics 4.0 is already a 2x to 5x better model of US political sentiment and direction than politics as usual.

Fly
Higher

1.2B Climate refugees by 2030
Zurich Insurance Group

‘No Winners” Seen if States Launch Water Wars Amid Mega Drought
Bloomberg Law

Cooling Effect of Clouds Underestimated
World Economic Forum

Why Clouds Are the Key to New Troubling Projections on Warming
Yale e360

How much water is produced by fuel cell cars
Quora

The Growth in Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Commercial Aviation
Environmental and Energy Study Initiative

Are India and Pakistan Headed for Water War?
Deutsche Welle

Is Hydrogen Air-Powered Travel the Future
TU Delft

Water Conflict
Wikipedia

Democratizing Drinking Water By Taking it from Thin Air
Asia Development Blog

Hydrogen for clean energy could be produced from seawater
Sustainability Times

Grey, bluer, green—why are there so many colours of hydrogen
World Economic Forum

Revolutionary Green Energy: A New Hydrogen Fuel Cell Breakthrough
SciTechDaily

Hydrogen: coming to an aircraft near you
Aerospace America

Causes of Drought: What’s the Climate Connection?
Union of Concerned Scientists

New Study Identifies Mountain Snowpack Most ‘at-risk’ from Climate Change
Phys.org

Water Conflict Pathways and Peacebuilding Strategies
United States Institute of Peace

Water scarcity could lead to the next major conflict between Iran and Iraq
Middle East Institute

Total fuel consumption of commercial airlines worldwide between 2005 and 2021, with forecast until 2023
Statista

Drinking Water
World Health Organization

Recovery and quality of water produced by commercial fuel cells
Science Direct

What’s the Percentage of Drinkable Water on Earth?
World Water Reserve

Methodology

It takes guts to see things from all four sides of the political table.
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