POLI THE AI has gone all Old Ironsides this week on calling which roles are likely for or against moving Veterans Day to Election Day. It’s Tiebreaker Tuesday when the editors lend a hand on the fence-sitters (Round One) and overrule POLI’s general calls for specific reasons (Round Two). The two rounds take a close look at the error margin for our super nonpartisan forecasts. POLI stands for Political Omnibus Leadership Initiative. But first…
SPOILER
ALERT
If you’d prefer first to role-play this week’s puzzle, then swoop on over to the…
Puzzle of the Week
Puzzle Drop Introduction
MONDAY
Should Veterans Day Move to Election Day?
Now, back to Tiebreaker Tuesday…
Let’s Start
at the End
The Two Tiebreaker Rounds ended with a score of
YES 13 vs. NO 18,
so Team NO picks up
5 roles overall.
Should Veterans Day Move to Election Day?
POLI had support as NEAR CONSENSUS. Our editors were a bit less convinced. Nevertheless, we predict a 79% ±2% (6 roles) VAST SUPERMAJORITY of roles in this country to support Moving Veterans Day to Election Day, including a majority of each of the four sides of the political table, making this US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) worthy idea.
90% and up Near Unanimous
80% – 89% NEAR CONSENSUS
75% -79% VAST SUPERMAJORITY
67% – 74% Strong Supermajority
60% – 66% Supermajority
50% – 59% Majority
By Contrast
SCOTUS’s approval rating is 40%,
the media is 27%, and
Congress is 13%.
The average score of the policies on the PolicyKeys™ US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) Sweet Sixteen is 76%, with many above 80%—Politics 4.0 is already a 2x to 5x better model of US political sentiment and direction than politics as usual.
Now back to the beginning.
Why Move Veterans Day
to Election Day?
Veterans Day, originally Armistice Day, was to celebrate the end of the First World War, which happened at the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month. The last brave soldier to have served in that war has now passed.
But why not move Election Day to Veterans Day? That would mean that some years voting would be on the Sabbath, whatever day of the week that falls on, which disrespects religion (that whole separation of church and state thing). Voting could also be on the weekend, which is when most people are trying to enjoy family time. However, moving Veterans Day to Election Day has no such baggage.
The idea of combining Veterans Day with Election Day centers on encouraging greater voter turnout while paying tribute to those who have served. It taps into a shared sense of national duty, potentially transforming the day into a powerful collective moment of action and remembrance.
Polls show voting on Veterans Day to have majority support from Democrats, Republicans, and Independents, but Veterans Day can land on any day of the week, including Sunday.
If Veterans Day was moved to Election Day, then voting would remain on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November and would become a national holiday—celebrations and voting during the day and mostly happy returns in the evening.
Those who
favor democracy…
want everyone to vote on everything; the majority should always rule. Moving Veterans Day to Election Day makes it easier for people to vote because they have the day off. It celebrates democracy in a practical way, potentially getting more voices heard in the election process, which is a win for the democratic principle of participation.
Those who favor
the republic…
think that elected officials and the judiciary should decide when it’s correct to impose the will of the majority or the minority on others—voting is just part of the process. There’s concern that simply increasing numbers at the polls doesn’t mean voters are informed.
While democracy types might welcome a larger, more diverse electorate, republic types might worry about shifts in voting patterns. Additionally, a surge of less informed voters could challenge overall decision-making quality, affecting both parties.
Summary
Metaphorically, it appears Election Day and Veterans Day have fallen in love but are having their first squabble over when and where the wedding should be. Move Veteran’s Day to Election Day —or- Election Day to Veterans Day? We scored the former because having election day occasionally on weekends and the sabbaths will lose more support than it gains.
Now, it’s time for…
Tiebreaker Tuesday for
Moving Veterans Day to Election Day
Sudden Depth
— 1ST HALF —
Note: the number (#) after the role is the primary key reason from the PolicyKeys game board, the gamification of our One Page Narrative Tool (OPNT).
— ‘NO’—
Dishonors veterans
with distracting elections (2)
- Republican Hawks (R): Initially concerned that the patriotic focus on veterans would be overshadowed by the partisan nature of elections, upon reflection, they might consider that a joint holiday might deepen the reverence for national service by connecting it to voting.
One less holiday
for some (8)
- Party Favor Republicans (R): Originally against losing a distinct holiday, they now ponder if combining holidays could actually increase GDP.
- Republican Leadership: Initially against the idea due to holiday voting seemingly helping the other party, the very nature of honoring veterans and waving the flag might be of benefit.
- Billionaires: While their initial stance may be against it, fearing an uninformed electorate, the social stability of a larger election turnout might make for smoother sailing.
- Landlords: Personally skeptical of larger voter turnouts and its possible effect on tenants’ rights issues, combining the two might lead to a bump in GDP leading to more stable tenants and higher rents.
Increased voter turnout is bad for the private sector (28)
- Investment Banks: Likely against the proposal due to concerns about more socialists voting, they also see that it might block election day from becoming a national holiday on its own, further reducing GDP.
Voter fraud
might go up (32)
- Borders & Order Republicans (R): Initially worried that increased turnout and chaos could lead to more voter fraud, they can also appreciate a holiday where guns are front and center in parades on election day.
— ‘YES’ —
Holidays make it easier
for all people to vote (7)
- Home Services: These sectors appreciate combining the holidays for more predictable scheduling for both workers and customers. They might also see the potential for some making it a 4 day weekend. However, the two holidays separate, at present, have a slightly higher amount of time off in some states.
Prevents yet another
holiday in November (15)
- Independent Businesses and Durable Manufacturers: Both industries recognize that a holiday merger might lead to a single, stronger promotional period, potentially driving higher sales volumes. Second thoughts: The possibility that higher voter turnout and anti-corporate sentiment might be bad for the business sector.
Getting childcare is
easier on holidays (23)
- Auto Services: There are many young families in this sector, and the holiday would make life much easier on election day. Second thoughts: They also realize that polls will be even more crowded, which is a nuisance.
Polls have a majority of voters from both parties in favor (25)
- E-Platforms and Free Press: Online platforms and the media foresee heightened user engagement and content consumption around a merged holiday, which could translate into increased advertising revenue. Second thoughts: They also contemplate the role they could play in fostering informed voting through increased dissemination of information.
Our armed forces
protect all Americans (27)
- Legacy Businesses: Traditional businesses anticipate that a unified holiday could revive interest in historical products and services, linking past and present patriotism. Second thoughts: Increased voting could lead to more populist socialist policies.
Should Veterans Day Move to Election Day?
— 1ST HALF —
Score
YES 7 v NO 7
Team YES and NO are Tied
— 2ND HALF —
Calling Fouls
on POLI’s Play
These are when the editors specifically disagreed with POLI’s general call.
Should Veterans Day Move to Election Day?
— ‘NO’ —
One less holiday
for some (8)
401Ks & IRAs: People with retirement funds may initially worry about market volatility, but they might consider how a more engaged and potentially prosperous society could bolster long-term investment growth.
Governors: State leaders initially concerned about backlash from consolidating two holidays into one may see the potential for increased civic engagement and community spirit as a positive counterbalance.
Taker States: States that receive more federal aid than they contribute might fear a loss of a holiday could affect their free time, yet they could also view increased voter participation as a way to better represent their needs.
Ag States: Agricultural sectors reliant on consistent work schedules may be apprehensive about a holiday shift but could recognize the potential for a more politically active rural populace to advocate for their interests.
Energy States: These states might initially see a combined holiday as a personal disruption but may also find value in the rational conversation about energy policy that increased civic participation could stimulate.
Polls will be even
more crowded (12)
Rural Professionals: Professionals in rural areas might worry about overcrowded polling stations, but they could also acknowledge that this could lead to more attention and resources being allocated to often-overlooked rural needs.
Most people don’t
understand the issues (14)
Deep Reader Independents (I): Analysts and thought leaders are concerned about uninformed voting. Second thoughts: They might also see an opportunity to deepen the public’s understanding of issues through more focused education and discussion on a long weekend dedicated to both service and citizenship.
Less PTO for
Federal employees to vote (22)
Federal Payroll: May be concerned about losing paid time off by combining the holidays. Second thoughts: yet they appreciate that more people voting can mean a more involved and informed electorate.
Increased voter turnout
might be bad for the business (28)
Entrepreneurs: While entrepreneurs might fear commercial backlash, they could also foresee a business environment invigorated by more centrist win-win policies for both consumers and producers.
Utilities: Utility companies, wary of increased anti-business voters, may also see the value of more mainstream candidates getting elected.
Rural Investors: Might be concerned about the immediate financial implications but could also consider how increased political engagement can lead to policies that boost rural development and, consequently, investment opportunities.
—’YES’—
Honors Veterans with
patriotic elections (1)
Lifestyle Businesses focused on work-life balance may initially see the appeal in a day that honors service and promotes national pride. Second thoughts: They may struggle with whether to stay open or not and have to pay overtime to those who do work.
Flag waving
helps Republicans (3)
Core Republicans (R): The Republican core, typically patriotic, might initially support veterans waving flags on election day. Second thoughts: a holiday on election day may favor the other party.
Holidays make it easier
for all people to vote (7)
Local Builders: Construction workers are frequently too busy to vote, and this could help. Second thoughts: They could also envision more voting heaping even more red tape onto their workday.
Getting child care is
easier on holidays (15)
National Lenders: Financial institutions see the value of fewer holidays for the economy and an easier time for their teams. Second thoughts: Yet, they might also be wary of anti-bank sentiment showing up with more people voting.
Veterans also make
great poll workers (17)
C-Suite: Veterans as poll workers is a great way to position their brands as doubly patriotic. Second thoughts: They could recognize that politics are always a threat to business.
Polls have a majority of
both parties in favor (27)
Insurances adept at calculating risks might initially see benefits from slightly fewer holidays in November. Second thoughts: More voter turnout might end up increasing their industry’s regulation.
— 2nd Half —
Score
YES 6 v NO 11
Team NO picks up 5
CONCLUSION
The Two Tiebreaker Rounds ended with a score of
YES 13 vs. NO 18,
so Team NO picks up
5 roles overall.
Should Veterans Day Move to Election Day?
POLI had support as NEAR CONSENSUS. Our editors were a bit less convinced. Nevertheless, we predict a 79% ±2% (6 roles) VAST SUPERMAJORITY of roles in this country to support Moving Veterans Day to Election Day, including a majority of each of the four sides of the political table, making this US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) worthy idea.
90% and up Near Unanimous
80% – 89% NEAR CONSENSUS
75% -79% VAST SUPERMAJORITY
67% – 74% Strong Supermajority
60% – 66% Supermajority
50% – 59% Majority
By Contrast
SCOTUS’s approval rating is 40%,
the media is 27%, and
Congress is 13%.
The average score of the policies on the PolicyKeys™ US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) Sweet Sixteen is 76%, with many above 80%—Politics 4.0 is already a 2x to 5x better model of US political sentiment and direction than politics as usual.
Cue the
Patriotic Music
Imagine an America not paralyzed by political squawking. A Parrot-otopia oasis in a desert of division. Where the sounds of the silent super-majority drown out the droning of the hyper-partisan parrots.
We’ll be freed from the cages of entrenched ideology to fly higher in the big sky of American beliefs, attitudes, values, and ethics. To boldly go where no political parrot has gone before—rating solutions with a nonpartisan score.
Anthem
Where Can We Agree?
(Why Don’t You Want To Know?)
Methodology
Politics 1.0 is each party wanting to be a one-party system. Politics 2.0 is the two-party gridlock that blocks the silent supermajority from getting what they need. Politics 3.0 is all the noise from special interest groups trying to influence us to see things their way. Politics 4.0 is to rank solutions with a nonpartisan score and let the best ideas rise up the leaderboard so the people can choose.
Our One-Page Narrative Tool, game board, and AI are based on a ground truth:
There’s a time to save
and a time to spend,
a time for freedom
and a time for laws.
Where can we agree?
This yields four legs of the political table: Abundance, Thrift, Governance, and Commerce, poetically our Political DNA, ACGT.
A Level
Playing Field
The four sides of the table are…
Abundance Governance (AG)
National Public Sector and NGOs,
Abundance Commerce (AC)
Technology and New Businesses,
Thrift Government (TG)
Local Municipalities, Guilds, and Consumers, and
Thrift Commerce (TC)
Established Supply Chains and Jobs.
Each side has a bias for change and a bias for the status quo. We scan these eight Information Walls for Key YES and NO Reasons, no cherry-picking.
Treasure Hunt
We search for solutions with the highest hypothetical nonpartisan rating. Something that would solve 80% of the problem with the simplest 20% solution. The Pareto principle, hence a parrot-topia.
The Political Parrots have a Key reason they don’t want us to know about because it ruins their argument. We search for these, like a treasure hunt, and sort them using our EMIT format: Emotions, Money, Information, and Timespan. We listen for these key signals in the political noise.
Key Reasons can look similar, so we edit for redundancy and look for errors, omissions, and innovations.
Political Parrots say the same thing over and over and over again. We look to filter out the GRIFTERS, Gaslighting, Red-herrings, Idolizing, False-dilemmas, Tunnel-vision, Exclusions, Reductions, and Straw-man arguments.
Birds of a Feather AI
Once the Key Reasons are set, we prescore the puzzle using the Birds of a Feather AI for loose ties to beliefs, attitudes, values, and ethics. Over 16 million combinations are possible for the 128 roles. The game board starts balanced at zero, with an equal bias for change and the status quo.
We then prescore the puzzle using 56 arch-type roles that best embody each of the 56 loose ties. This yields a general bias for change or status quo and reveals ties.
The editors review all 128 roles for specific reasons and overrule the general AI where necessary. These are noted in the Tuesday Tiebreaker article.
Then, we score the puzzle on all four sides of the Political Table: eight Information Walls, sixteen Subcultural Windows, sixteen Bias Columns, and sixteen Influence Rows.
SAT9 AI
When the scoring is done, a second AI looks for inconsistencies using the SAT9 AI filter (Situational Assessment Tool). This is 256 ‘supreme courts’ where each role is the chief justice in a presumed 5-4 and 4-5 bench. This generates a ± error margin.
The engine for the AI is our One Page Narrative Tool (OPNT) which we gamified for role-playing at policykeys.com. We call our AI, POLI for Political Omnibus Leadership Initiative.
You can read more about PolicyKeys™ in the upcoming book, Politics 4.0: How Gamification, AI, and National Idea Leaderboards Can Help You Depolarize the World. The Observatory of Public Sector Innovation (OPSI) at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has recognized PolicyKeys™ for digital engagement.
Weekly
Puzzle
A new PolicyKeys™
Where Can We Agree?® puzzle
drops every
Monday at 7 a.m. Eastern at PolicyKeys.com.
PolicyKeys™ Where Can We Agree? is a real-life role-playing game. Each week, there are sixteen sets of eight ‘rival’ roles. Sit awhile in each of their eight chairs and predict whether a majority of people in those roles would say Yes or No to the week’s question.
The best ideas land on the US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) if a majority of each of the four sides of the political table agree.
YOU CAN PLAY THIS WEEK’S PUZZLE AT POLICYKEYS.COM.
Fly
Higher
Empower Voters 2.2
American Academy of Arts and Science
Armistice Day (Veteran’s Day)
Wikipedia
Combine Election Day with Veterans Day and give democracy a boost
CNN: Opinion
Move Voting Day to Veterans Day
Politico
OPM Announced Paid Time Off for Federal Employees to Vote
OPM
The Changing Face of America’s Veteran Population
Pew
Last U.S. World War I Vet, Dies at 110
History.com
Make Election Day a National Holiday
Brookings
Bipartisan Bill to Make Election Day a National Holiday
Press Release
Should Election Day Become a National Holiday
ProCon.org
Nineteen States Have A Holiday for Election Day
Represent.us
The Effect of Making Election Day a Holiday: A Study
Bringham Young University
Five Reasons Election Day Should Be a National Holiday
Global Citizen
Views of Election Policy Proposals
Pew
Election Day Should Not Be a National Holiday
Inc
ABA survey finds support for election holiday, expanded polling hours, voter IDs
American Bar Association
Why Tech Companies are Making Election Day a Holiday
Tech Crunch
Election Law
Cato
It takes guts to see things from all four sides of the political table.
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