Abortion Wrapup Parrot

Abortion Law Wrap-Up

We’re putting a bow on our weeklong series on Abortion Law. Welcome to the Saturday Wrap-Up. It appears the Abortion SCALE ACT is the highest-rated silent super-majority compromise. Maybe Congress will give us all a present by listening to the sentiment and direction of ‘Us People.’ You can read more about silent super-majority solutions on our US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL).

UPDATE 11/8/23: The Abortion Scale Act compromise is currently on the US-PPL and one of the Sweet Sixteen solutions.

#11 The Abortion SCALE Act
(78% Super Nonpartisan Score)

Now that the FDA has approved OTC Birth Control (‘us people’ won!), the Abortion SCALE Act is on the Sweet Sixteen recap. The Abortion SCALE Act allows for a woman to choose until the 16th week, from the 17th to 23rd week* abortion is semi-legal with enhanced informed consent and a 72-hour hold, and illegal after week 24* when a fetus would be viable outside the womb (an unborn citizen). The only exceptions being to save the mother’s life, a fetus becomes non-viable, or in the cases of rape or incest. *Note: Recently, twins born at 21 weeks survived so the 23-week benchmark might be lowered to 20 weeks, and new artificial womb technology may make this more common.

This week’s puzzle: 

Should abortion scale from legal, semi-legal to mostly illegal? 

The Abortion SCALE Act Compromise
(Structured Compassionate Abortion Law Endorsement)
A fetus is considered viable (an unborn child) at 24 weeks.
Abortion is legal up to 16 weeks, informed consent is required with a 72-hour hold up to 23 weeks, then mostly illegal after 24 weeks—except for saving the mother’s life, or the fetus becomes non-viable or in cases of rape or incest.

Spoiler Alert

If you want to role-play the PolicyKeys puzzle before seeing its scoring, now would be a good time to swoop over to PolicyKeys.com. This week’s political flap starts with the Monday Puzzle Drop article. Then check out Tuesday’s BOX SCORE article. Wednesdays, you’ll be gobsmacked by this week’s Politically Strange Bedfellows. On Thursdays, we listen for the signal from all those Noisy Guests who are the most conflicted in their views. On Fridays, spend some quality time with your Political Digital Twin. ‘Us people’ are best represented on the US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL). Here’s the skinny on political parrots. You can scroll through past weekly series on our Super Nonpartisan Public Policy Blog.

Let’s Talk about Weeks and
Super Nonpartisan Support

If the limit for legal abortions without informed consent and a waiting period were lowered from 16 weeks, we predict losing more pro-choice-leaning people than gaining pro-life support. So, the super-nonpartisan score would go down.

If the window for semi-legal abortions with informed consent and a 72-hour hold were shortened, we likewise predict losing more pro-choice-leaning people than gaining pro-life support. So, the super-nonpartisan score would go down.

If abortions became illegal before 23 weeks, we predict losing more pro-choice-leaning people than gaining pro-life support. So, the super-nonpartisan score would go down.

We challenge lawmakers to balance the ethics and morals of abortion, liberty, and justice without weaponizing either extreme position to advance partisan politics. Super nonpartisanship is the solution. If the scale of weeks can be adjusted to increase the nonpartisan score, all the better.

About 5,000 per year

There are about as many child gun deaths as late-term abortions, and guns are still legal. If abortion were illegal, maternal deaths would be about the same as late-term abortions.

By comparison, 480,000 people die yearly from tobacco use, and that’s still legal. Why should any small fraction of society decide who should live and die?

So, what does our
shared political DNA (ACGT) say about the Abortion SCALE Act compromise?

A for Abundance

Abundance is more than just material wealth and includes resources, intellectual depth, and a generosity of spirit. 

A1. Empowerment: The Abortion SCALE Act empowers women with choice, paving the way for their educational, career, and life pursuits, catalyzing societal creativity and economic growth.

A2. Well-being: Safe abortion access reduces births under strained emotional and material resources, ensuring better life quality and more opportunities for children.

A3. Vision: The act promotes an abundant mindset, pushing society to think future-forward, ensuring individual success translates to community benefits.

A4. Compassion: The act safeguards mental and emotional well-being. By empowering women and fostering reproductive rights discussions, we enrich society’s empathy and understanding.

T for Thrift

Thrift is not just spending less but also resource management, risk mitigation, and the principle of doing more with less. 

T1. Prudence: Legal and safe abortion services curtail unsafe procedures’ financial and societal costs, representing a thrifty approach.

T2. Efficiency: Women’s family planning can decrease reliance on public assistance, ensuring the community’s efficient resource use.

T3. Fiscal Sense: Reduced demand for government services potentially curtails the need for heightened corporate and personal taxation.

T4. Proactivity: Through reproductive education and abortion rights, we invest in societal well-being through crime reduction.

C for Commerce

Commerce covers not only the private sector but also asynchronous decision-making (decisions not made simultaneously but at different times by different people), competition, and innovation.

C1. Stability: Women’s family planning stabilizes workforce participation, aiding businesses in resource allocation.

C2. Growth: Empowered reproductive choices open doors for women, enriching the economy with diverse talents and innovations.

C3. Professionals: Fewer unwanted pregnancies can make more professionals available to the private sector than the public sector.

C4. Cohesion: Reproductive rights security echos psychological safety in the workplace that’s been proven to increase performance through a healthy culture.

G for Governance

Governance is not only public sector activity but also synchronous decision-making, liberty, and justice for all.

G1. Integrity: The Abortion SCALE Act embodies governance principles like justice and liberty, underlining the state’s commitment to both.

G2. Harmony: The act harmonizes individual rights and societal well-being and doesn’t let small fractions of society dominate the supermajority.

G3. Safety: Prioritizing citizen safety, the act offers legal avenues for abortion, rectifying past policy oversights and fostering societal equity.

G4. Enlightenment: Advocating for education and awareness, the act champions an informed democracy.

The Four Kinds of Love & the Four Laws of Public Policy Formation

Now, let’s look at the Abortion SCALE Act through the Four Kinds of Love: Self-Love, Nurture, Tough-Love, and Self-Sacrifice, and then how each applies to the compromise.

Self-Love

Self-love is not about selfishness but self-preservation and recognizing one’s worth. It’s similar to putting on your oxygen mask in an airplane before helping others. You cannot effectively care for others if you have not first taken care of yourself.

Politically, this manifests as laws and regulations protecting individuals and their rights or as advocacy for one’s community or demographic.

This resembles the First Law of Public Policy Formation: those with short-term focus naturally protect their wages, jobs, status, profits, and wealth.

Nurture

Nurture is the love that enables growth and development. It’s seen in a teacher’s patience in guiding students or a gardener’s tender care for their plants.

It’s a love dedicated to fostering potential and progress, similar to policymakers’ initiatives to boost community development and individual growth.

This closely resembles the Second Law of Public Policy Formation: those with a longer-term focus place bets to make life better, longer, easier, and/or different.

Tough-Love

Tough-love dares to be strict when it is beneficial in the long run. It’s parents setting boundaries to keep their child safe. Or a coach pushing an athlete to their limits to draw out their full potential.

In politics, it might be taking away the safety net so people learn that bad or lazy decisions have consequences. Or stringent regulations intended to protect the environment.

This most resembles the Third Law of Public Policy Formation: the clash of the short-term folks and long-term folks naturally causes noise, angst, and conflict.

Self-Sacrifice

Self-sacrifice is a profound expression of putting others before oneself. This love is like when a parent goes hungry to ensure their child is fed. Or when a firefighter rushes into a burning building to save a stranger. It’s a love that asks for no reward other than the welfare of others.

In public policy, it might look like leaders who prioritize the needs of their constituents over their political aspirations.

This most resembles the Fourth Law of Public Policy Formation: a vast supermajority of folks on all four sides of the political table know what to do, and a small fraction of society may have to self-sacrifice for the love of their country.

Are you ever just one of these? One your best day, what’s the mix?

Recapping the Support for the
Abortion SCALE Act
through the Four Loves.

From our Wednesday Strange Bedfellows article, the ‘YES’ odd couples’ stances…

Self-Love: Liberty Republicans value freedom, and Democratic Leadership champion justice, together they see the Abortion SCALE Act as the balance for their joint love of America.

Nurture: Nonworkers and Non-Union Workers’ endorsement blooms from their compassion, understanding of individual challenges, and valuing societal well-being.

Tough-Love: Despite their differences, Unions and Business Groups jointly recognize the balance between individual rights and workforce productivity. You can’t satisfy everyone.

Self-Sacrifice: Importers and Exporters’ support shows their focus on the broader trade environment over personal beliefs.

20 Interesting Facts About Abortion

1. Abortions decreased by 50% in the U.S. from 1990 to 2017. Better access to contraception and comprehensive sex education contributed to the decline.

2. About 18% of pregnancies worldwide end in abortion. An estimated 25 million unsafe abortions occur annually, mostly in developing regions.

3. American support for legal abortion reached an all-time high of 85% in a 2023 Gallup poll. 13% said it should be illegal.

4. Ireland legalized abortion in 2018 after a referendum removed a constitutional amendment that essentially banned it. This marked a significant shift in traditionally Catholic Ireland.

5. Mexico City legalized elective first-trimester abortion in 2007. However, most Mexican states still ban or heavily restrict abortion access.

Role-Play This Week’s Puzzle on PolicyKeys.com

6. South Korea’s high abortion rates are tied to social stigma against single mothers and a preference for small families. Abortion is illegal but common.

7. African countries have some of the most restrictive abortion laws globally. Yet the UN estimates that 3 out of 4 abortions in Africa are unsafe, contributing to maternal deaths.

8. In El Salvador, abortion is completely banned with no exceptions. Women convicted of having abortions face long prison sentences.

9. Malta is the only EU country prohibiting abortion under all circumstances, even when the woman’s life is at risk.

10. In the US, states with the most abortion restrictions also tend to have higher maternal and infant mortality rates.

Role-Play This Week’s Puzzle on PolicyKeys.com

11. Early Christian views on abortion were nuanced, with some theological debate. But by the late 1800s, most Christian denominations strongly opposed it.

12. Nepal legalized abortion in 2002 after a long campaign by women’s rights advocates. But stigma and lack of access remain issues.

13. In Canada, no laws regulate abortion at all. It was fully decriminalized in 1988 after a Supreme Court ruling.

14. Portugal legalized abortion in 2007, leaving only Malta and Andorra with blanket bans in the EU.

15. After Roe v. Wade, US abortion rates peaked around 1980 before declining. Rates have been dropping globally, too.

Role-Play This Week’s Puzzle on PolicyKeys.com

16. In Jewish law, abortion is permitted if the woman’s life is in danger. Views differ among Jewish denominations on other circumstances.

17. Uruguay legalized abortion in 2012. It has among the lowest maternal mortality rates in Latin America.

18. Repeated abortions are rising in some countries due to inadequate family planning resources.

19. Texas passed an abortion “heartbeat bill” banning most abortions after six weeks. Some women turn to risky online pills instead.

20. Despite legality, stigma deters Indian women from seeking safe abortions. Unsafe procedures persist, causing health complications.

This Week’s Political Digital Twin

Inner Conflict in Public Policy

Public policy decisions aren’t black and white. Unless you consistently echo party lines, you’ll likely experience inner conflict regarding most policy solutions.

Everyone juggles various societal roles, and what benefits one role might not benefit another. It’s a mental tug-of-war. We’re here to help you navigate this, making you aware of your competing interests so you can make informed decisions.

Weekly Feature – Political Digital Twin

Each week, using a random number generator and our Noisy Guest Humanizing Dice, we create a profile of a random citizen, showcasing over a dozen roles they identify with.

This profile offers insights into how to customize your PolicyKeys™ Political Digital Twin, allowing you to generate your personalized Public Policy Advisor Report on any PolicyKeys challenge. (Coming Soon)

This Week’s Random Citizens

A 30-something couple with no children, one is a Core Republican who works Full-time for an HMO, and the other is a USA First Independent who works Part-time as a Freelancer for a local Business Services company. They live in a Rural area, and both volunteer for a Local Foundation that helps kids. They are both News junkies.

Their values are to be responsible and fair, and to play to win. They like country and bluegrass music. Their hobbies are music and art. 

Their four in-laws work for a Local Bank in the C-Suite, a Start-up, a B2B Manager, and a company Founder. There are two siblings. One is in Logistics, and the other works for an Auto Services dealer. 

Their ‘NO’ Inner Voices
on the Abortion SCALE Act

Core Republicans: NO (#16)  
Arguing that life starts at conception, they peel away the broader implications of pro-choice stances.

Rural Full-Time: NO (#6)  
Viewing abortion as a crime against humanity, they struggle with how societal values have shifted over time.

C-Suite: NO (#28)  
Voicing concerns about needing workers for unglamorous jobs, they order the potential impacts on workforce dynamics.

Founders: NO (#28)  
Emphasizing the need for workers in less glamorous roles, they cite the nation’s declining work ethic.

Auto Services: NO (#8)  
Stressing the benefits of adoption over abortion, they tune up alternative family-building solutions.

HMOs: NO (#20)
Having a baby in America costs an average of $30,000, and HMOs make their profit as a percentage of claims; babies are way more profitable than abortions.

The ‘YES’ Inner Voices on
the Abortion SCALE Act

USA First Independents: YES (#5)  
Observing that other nations like ours legalize pro-choice, they ponder why the U.S. remains an outlier.

Rural Part-Time: YES (#27)  
Highlighting the financial hardships of raising children, they want options.

Freelancers: YES (#5)  Noting that many progressive nations have pro-choice policies, they contemplate why the U.S. isn’t more aligned.

Business Services: YES (#21)  
Underscoring the decrease in crime due to abortion access, they emphasize the broader societal benefits.

Local Banks: YES (#19)  
Stressing the reduced financial strain on welfare and family budgets with more reproductive choices, they deposit the fiscal benefits.

Start-ups: YES (#31)  
Believing that diverse perspectives, particularly from women, enhance team intelligence, they initiate inclusive policies.

B2B: YES (#13)  
Asserting that immigration quickly addresses labor shortages, they facilitate reevaluating U.S. policies on both fronts.

Managers: YES (#31)  
Pointing out that women significantly contribute to collective team intelligence, they lead the overarching benefits of women’s rights.

Free Press: says YES (#7)
Equal protection under the law and most readers being pro-choice are their headlines.

Logistics: YES (#21)  
Citing the significant crime reduction due to increased abortion access, they deliver the societal stability it brings.

Drumroll Please

Wow, a lot is happening inside this person’s head, huh? When you add up these sixteen roles’ forecasted opinions for this random couple, the score is…

YES 10 – NO 6 = net +4 YES

The possible scores here are +16 to -16, so +4 indicates that this couple is solidly leaning in favor of the National Abortion SCALE Compromise, barring one or more of the NO reasons being way more important than all the YES reasons. Since these are fictitious people, we’ll never know. 

But You Will

Are you making up your own mind or marching to the beat of a political parrot? While we finish testing our Political Digital Twin Tool for your Personal Public Policy Advisor Report, you can add your role’s scores from this week’s puzzle here and do your best impression of a public policy wonk. Amaze your family and friends with your super nonpartisan ways. 

You might be thinking, why would these individuals care about what their family and friends feel about this topic? Here’s the thing: There are four kinds of love: self-sacrifice, nurture, tough love, and self-love. Are you only ever just one of those? What percent of each are you on your best day? Caring about what the people you love care about is what families and democratic republics do.

Conclusion: By the Numbers

We predict a 78% ±2 vast super-majority of roles in this country to support the Abortion SCALE Act, including a majority of each of the four sides of the political table, making this a US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) worthy idea. 

Congress’s approval rating is 21%, the Supreme Court’s is 40%, the media’s 27%, and the average score of the policies on the PolicyKeys™ National Idea Leaderboard is 73%, with many above 80%—Politics 4.0 is already 2x to 3x better model of US political sentiment and direction than Politics (as usual) 3.0.

Methodology

When we call the Roles, with extra attention on the Noisy Guests’ leanings, we present arguments from both sides of the aisle, change bias v status quo bias, and look at sixteen key YES and sixteen key NO reasons. No cherry-picking.

We analyzed patterns of close ties to other roles and loose ties to beliefs, attitudes, values, and ethics. Then, we score the puzzle on all four sides of the Political Table: eight Information Walls, sixteen Subcultural Windows, and sixteen Influence Rows.

You can read more about PolicyKeys™ in the upcoming book, Politics 4.0: How Gamification, AI, and National Idea Leaderboards Can Help You Depolarize America. The Observatory of Public Sector Innovation (OPSI) at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has recognized PolicyKeys™ for digital engagement.

The Weekly Puzzle

A new PolicyKeys™ Where Can We Agree?® Puzzle drops every Monday at 7 a.m. Eastern at PolicyKeys.com.

PolicyKeys™ Where Can We Agree? is a real-life role-playing game. Each week, there are sixteen sets of eight ‘rival’ roles. Sit awhile in each of their eight chairs and predict whether a majority of people in those roles would say Yes or No to the week’s question.

The best ideas land on the US Public Policy Leaderboard (US-PPL) if a majority of each of the four sides of the political table agree. You can play this week’s puzzle at PolicyKeys.com. *Political Omnibus Leadership Initiative

Anthem

Where Can We Agree? (Why Don’t You Want To Know?)

You can play this week’s puzzle at PolicyKeys.com.

Fly Higher

Abortion and Crime, Revisited
Freakonomics

What Does Pregnancy Cost
What to Expect

Data On Crime in America
Pew Research

Key Facts About Abortion
Kettering Foundation

Public Opinion on Abortion 
Pew Research

185 Business Against Abortion Bans
CNBC

Texas Abortion Restriction Not Popular
NPR

Pope Francis Allows Priest to Absolve Abortions
Vatican

More Women Make Better Teams
Inc

Abortions down 57% since 1990
Live Action

Abortions per Live Births in the US
Statista

Abortion Patients Are Disproportionally Poor
Guttmacher

Only 8% Think Abortion Should Always Be Illegal
Monmouth College

Stats on Third-Trimester Abortions
Health Research Funding

The Bible Supports Abortion [?]
Medium

A Proposed National Agreement on Abortion
Real Clear Politics

1000+ Abortion Restrictions
ACLU

24 Weeks & Viability
PubMed

Libertarians and Abortion
CATO
Libertarian Party

State-by-State Guide on Abortion
WSJ

Texas is confused over whether fetuses have rights
Fortune

Maternal Mortality Rates in the United States 2021
CDC

8% of Prisons are For Profit
The Sentencing Project

It takes guts to see things from all four sides of the table [::]


Posted

in

, ,

by